Tuesday, January 15, 2013

BrassTacks latest Threat Analysis

The PPP regime is facing a collapse now. Multiple challenges of security have now brought the Zardari led government into panic mode now. The government of Baluchistan is about to collapse and Zardari’s own residence in Karachi, Bilawal house, is under siege by protestors. The Shias in the country are blocking roads and trains all across the country to protest the killings in Quetta. In Quetta itself, the Hazara Shias are sitting with their nearly 100 bodies in the freezing cold for the last 52 hours demanding a martial law in the city. Hundreds of thousands of marchers are now heading towards Islamabad demanding the scalp of Zardari and his regime. Islamabad is sealed and under siege and the government has fled, hiding behind hundreds of containers and thousands of civilian law enforcement troops.

Pakistan army is facing a multi-axis war from Line of Control to the FATA and is also being dragged into the election duties, over stretching the already thinned out military. TTP, Indian army and Drones are now going for the kill, sensing the vulnerabilities of the Pak army under these most dangerous times.

Now the people of Quetta are demanding army to take over the city. Army is already on the standby in Islamabad to be called in if the situation gets out of control of the government.

This is a very difficult time for the army also. On one hand, the country is sinking and the enemies are opening up more and bloodier fronts everyday causing great casualties on daily basis. On the other hand, people have now started to demand army to intervene to remove the provincial and even federal governments. If the army waits and let the politicians handle the crisis, the country would be lost for good within weeks. The political government has already lost total control.

If the army intervenes, it will have to chose between a martial law or a army backed civilian caretaker government. It can also chose to intervene to support the Zardari regime but it would also be severely burnt in the process as Zardari is now a total liability for the nation and the army.

It is the call of the army Chief now. He remains silent. Deadly silent, causing more and more frustration and anger within the nation and even within the army.

Next week or two would basically decide the fate of the regime and threats would further rise exponentially. Monday, onwards would be the moment of truth for the government now and for the nation. Years of corruption, negligence and complacency has now brought the country on the brink of collapse. A tragic state of affairs indeed.

But great khair would emerge from this anarchy, InshAllah. Baluchistan government has collapsed. The process has begun. Now Islamabad regime would also fall. It is just a matter of time now, InshAllah.

Rabi ul Awwal has begun. A Month of khair and Barakah alhamdolillah. Allah will never abandon the Ummat of Sayyadi Rasul Allah (sm). Milad un Nabi Mubarak. Infinite salat o salam on Sayyadi Rasul Allah (sm).



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