We had warned that CIA is trying to change the maps of the Muslim middle East under various war doctrines....

6 years ago, we had warned that CIA is trying to change the maps of the Muslim middle East under various war doctrines -- like they did in Somalia, Iraq or Yugoslavia. Now New York times arrogantly expose their game plan which is now in the final stages.

Pakistan now need a new war doctrine to fight this urban 5th generation war. This is the new war imposed upon us. Khair inshAllah.

How 5 Countries Could Become 14

Analysis by ROBIN WRIGHT

Slowly, the map of the Middle East could be redrawn.

SPILLOVER TO IRAQ

In the simplest of several possibilities,northern Kurds join Syrian Kurds. Manycentral areas, dominated by Sunnis, joinSyria’s Sunnis. And the south becomesShiitestan. It’s not likely to be so clean.In a more powerful twist, all or part of South Yemen couldthen become part of Saudi Arabia. Nearly all Saudi commerceis via sea, and direct access to the Arabian Sea would diminish dependence on the Persian Gulf — and fears ofIran’s ability to cut off the Strait of Hormuz.

YEMEN SPLITS

The poorest Arab countrycould break (again) into twopieces following a potentialreferendum in SouthYemen on independence. 

LIBYA UNGLUED

As a result of powerfultribal and regional rivalries,Libya could break into its twohistoric parts — Tripolitaniaand Cyrenaica — and possibly a third Fezzan state in the southwest.

PRE-MONARCHY SAUDI ARABIA

Long term, Saudi Arabia faces its own (suppressed) internal divisions that could surface as power

shifts to the next generation of princes. The kingdom’s unity is further threatened by tribal differences, the Sunni-Shiite divide and economic challenges. It could break into the five regions that preceeded the modern state. 

Possible city-states

3. The Sunni heartland secedes and then may combine with provinces in Iraq to form Sunnistan. 

2. A Syrian Kurdistan could break off and eventually merge with the Kurds of Iraq.

1. Alawites, a minority that has controlled Syria for decades, dominate a coastal corridor.

SYRIA: THE TRIGGER?

Sectarian and ethnic rivalries could break it into at least three pieces:

libya

yemen

saudi arabia

Sana

Aden

Sabha

Mecca

Jeddah

Benghazi

MisUrata

Tripoli

Ad Dammam

Riyadh

Baghdad

Erbil

SHIITESTAN

TRIPOLITANIA

FEZZAN

CYRENAICA

WESTERN

ARABIA

SOUTH

YEMEN

NORTH

YEMEN

SOUTH ARABIA

EASTERN

ARABIA

WAHHABISTAN

NORTH ARABIA

ALAWITESTAN

SUNNISTAN

KURDISTAN

MEDITERRANEAN SEA

ARABIAN

SEA

PERSIAN

GULF

STRAIT OF HORMUZ

JABAL AL-DRUZE

EGYPT

iraN

iraq

syria

THE NEW YORK TIMES/ANALYSIS By ROBIN WRIGHT